Saturday, June 28, 2008

Forecast for June 29, 2008

There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms for areas of Alberta and extreme western Saskatchewan tomorrow.

Tomorrow looks to be a "foothill-type" setup, in which storms tend to blow up off the foothills, and track to the West afterwards.

Fueled by lots of daytime heating, the atmosphere is expected to become unstable with CAPE values exceeding 2000 J/Kg. in a few places. With a trigger from the foothills (such as foothills dryline setup, upslope, etc.), storms could form.

There is one inhibiting factor though. That would be the forecasted very strong cap in the area. Due to this, storms may not develop at all; we will have to wait and see what happens.

With a lack of wind shear though, any storm that does form will have a very low tornado threat (reason for no tornado map in the posted forecast here), but a large hail and damaging wind threat still exist.

MAP

Severe Weather Threat


Any updates will be posted by 2-3 pm CDT tomorrow (June 29/08)

Jon

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